tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 90%

  1. 07:11 ORD → 09:19 LAS
    UA 574 · United · 4h 08m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:10 LAS → 13:45 SJC
    WN 1242 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 34mORD 07:11 to SJC 13:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.