Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Minneapolis → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 30%
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11:32 MSP → 13:15 ORDUA 576 · United · 1h 43m · 73% on time, 1.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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14:05 ORD → 16:31 TVCUA 5504 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 53% on time, 2.7% cancelled
Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip3h 59mMSP 11:32 to TVC 16:31, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.