tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Madison via Denver: arrives on time 81%

  1. 10:54 ORD → 12:45 DEN
    UA 581 · United · 2h 51m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 DEN → 17:04 MSN
    UA 4805 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 24m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 10mORD 10:54 to MSN 17:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.