tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Kailua/Kona via Las Vegas: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 SFO → 07:46 LAS
    UA 582 · United · 1h 46m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:30 LAS → 12:45 KOA
    WN 4452 · Southwest · 6h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 45mSFO 06:00 to KOA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.