tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Memphis via Houston: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:15 PHL → 08:44 IAH
    UA 584 · United · 3h 29m · 95% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 IAH → 13:41 MEM
    UA 5758 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 26mPHL 06:15 to MEM 13:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.