tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 13:09 ORD
    UA 587 · United · 4h 24m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ORD → 17:39 DTW
    UA 5867 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 82% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 54mSNA 06:45 to DTW 17:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.