tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 13:09 ORD
    UA 587 · United · 4h 24m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ORD → 18:12 DCA
    UA 1941 · United · 2h 12m · 66% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 27mSNA 06:45 to DCA 18:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.