tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Dulles via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 13:09 ORD
    UA 587 · United · 4h 24m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:53 ORD → 19:02 IAD
    UA 2437 · United · 2h 09m · 71% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip9h 17mSNA 06:45 to IAD 19:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.