tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 13:09 ORD
    UA 587 · United · 4h 24m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ORD → 20:10 DCA
    UA 456 · United · 2h 10m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip10h 25mSNA 06:45 to DCA 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.