Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New Orleans via Chicago: arrives on time 43%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 18:55 ORD
    UA 590 · United · 2h 23m · 57% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:11 ORD → 22:46 MSY
    UA 1761 · United · 2h 35m · 63% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 14mBWI 17:32 to MSY 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.