tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 18:55 ORD
    UA 590 · United · 2h 23m · 57% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:45 BNA
    UA 2063 · United · 1h 48m · 51% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 13mBWI 17:32 to BNA 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.