Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Santa Ana via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 18:55 ORD
    UA 590 · United · 2h 23m · 57% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 ORD → 22:19 SNA
    UA 308 · United · 4h 34m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 47mBWI 17:32 to SNA 22:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.