tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:32 BWI → 18:55 ORD
    UA 590 · United · 2h 23m · 57% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 07mBWI 17:32 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.