tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Sioux Falls via Denver: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:08 PHX → 12:00 DEN
    UA 597 · United · 1h 52m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 DEN → 16:23 FSD
    UA 5378 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 15mPHX 09:08 to FSD 16:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.