tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Kansas City via Denver: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:41 IAD → 19:45 DEN
    UA 599 · United · 4h 04m · 74% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 DEN → 23:25 MCI
    UA 1596 · United · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 44mIAD 17:41 to MCI 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.