tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sarasota/Bradenton via Baltimore: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:40 IAH → 11:47 BWI
    UA 604 · United · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 BWI → 17:05 SRQ
    WN 4817 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 25mIAH 07:40 to SRQ 17:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.