tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Louisville via Baltimore: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:40 IAH → 11:47 BWI
    UA 604 · United · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:40 BWI → 16:25 SDF
    WN 4885 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 45mIAH 07:40 to SDF 16:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.