tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Orlando via Houston: arrives on time 59%

  1. 00:45 SFO → 06:34 IAH
    UA 604 · United · 3h 49m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:20 IAH → 10:51 MCO
    UA 2245 · United · 2h 31m · 94% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip7h 06mSFO 00:45 to MCO 10:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.