tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Houston: arrives on time 72%

  1. 00:45 SFO → 06:34 IAH
    UA 604 · United · 3h 49m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:30 IAH → 08:46 MSY
    UA 491 · United · 1h 16m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 01mSFO 00:45 to MSY 08:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.