tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Baltimore via Houston: arrives on time 77%

  1. 00:45 SFO → 06:34 IAH
    UA 604 · United · 3h 49m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 IAH → 11:47 BWI
    UA 604 · United · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 02mSFO 00:45 to BWI 11:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.