tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Traverse City via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 13:25 DEN → 17:05 ORD
    UA 617 · United · 2h 40m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 20:19 TVC
    UA 2790 · United · 1h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 54mDEN 13:25 to TVC 20:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.