Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Richmond via Chicago: arrives on time 62%

  1. 08:05 LGA → 09:44 ORD
    UA 623 · United · 2h 39m · 81% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 ORD → 13:57 RIC
    UA 3704 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 22m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 52mLGA 08:05 to RIC 13:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.