tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Kansas City via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:12 RDU → 18:42 ORD
    UA 630 · United · 2h 30m · 45% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 ORD → 23:17 MCI
    UA 4723 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 59% on time, 8.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (8.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 05mRDU 17:12 to MCI 23:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.