tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Long Beach via Austin: arrives on time 37%

  1. 08:30 IAD → 10:56 AUS
    UA 637 · United · 3h 26m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Austin (AUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:15 AUS → 14:10 LGB
    WN 4915 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip8h 40mIAD 08:30 to LGB 14:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.