tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sarasota/Bradenton via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:00 EWR → 13:23 ATL
    UA 642 · United · 2h 23m · 77% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:15 ATL → 18:52 SRQ
    DL 3115 · Delta · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 53mEWR 11:00 to SRQ 18:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.