tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Raleigh/Durham via Tampa: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:13 SFO → 05:38 TPA
    UA 649 · United · 5h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:13 TPA → 11:03 RDU +1 day
    DL 1279 · Delta · 1h 50m · 91% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 50mSFO 21:13 to RDU 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.