tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → New Orleans via Tampa: arrives on time 90%

  1. 21:13 SFO → 05:38 TPA
    UA 649 · United · 5h 25m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:55 TPA → 08:35 MSY +1 day
    WN 934 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 22mSFO 21:13 to MSY 08:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.