Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Dayton via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:05 DCA → 18:30 ORD
    UA 654 · United · 2h 25m · 50% on time, 3.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:49 DAY
    UA 4589 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 29m · 69% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 44mDCA 17:05 to DAY 23:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.