Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Washington → San Francisco via Chicago: arrives on time 34%
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17:05 DCA → 18:30 ORDUA 654 · United · 2h 25m · 50% on time, 3.1% cancelled
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1h 34m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:04 ORD → 22:57 SFOUA 1495 · United · 4h 53m · 45% on time, 1.4% cancelled
Total trip 8h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (3.1% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip8h 52mDCA 17:05 to SFO 22:57, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.