tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Appleton via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 17:13 MSP → 19:00 ORD
    UA 658 · United · 1h 47m · 57% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 ORD → 23:23 ATW
    UA 4495 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 10mMSP 17:13 to ATW 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.