tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 17:13 MSP → 19:00 ORD
    UA 658 · United · 1h 47m · 57% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 ORD → 23:57 GRR
    UA 5303 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 44mMSP 17:13 to GRR 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.