Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Minneapolis → San Jose via Chicago: arrives on time 34%
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17:13 MSP → 19:00 ORDUA 658 · United · 1h 47m · 57% on time, 2.1% cancelled
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58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:58 ORD → 22:43 SJCUA 481 · United · 4h 45m · 67% on time, 4.2% cancelled
Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 30mMSP 17:13 to SJC 22:43, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.