tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 PHL → 07:30 ORD
    UA 660 · United · 2h 30m · 88% on time, 6.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 ORD → 11:49 MSN
    UA 5843 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 14m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 49mPHL 06:00 to MSN 11:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.