tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 16:45 EWR → 18:34 ORD
    UA 661 · United · 2h 49m · 50% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 ORD → 23:57 GRR
    UA 5303 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 67% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 12mEWR 16:45 to GRR 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.