Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 16:45 EWR → 18:34 ORD
    UA 661 · United · 2h 49m · 50% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 ORD → 23:12 MSN
    UA 630 · United · 1h 12m · 62% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 27mEWR 16:45 to MSN 23:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.