Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Newark → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 50%
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16:45 EWR → 18:34 ORDUA 661 · United · 2h 49m · 50% on time, 3.3% cancelled
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1h 26m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:00 ORD → 22:01 DENUA 767 · United · 3h 01m · 71% on time, 2.2% cancelled
Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 16mEWR 16:45 to DEN 22:01, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.