tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Detroit via Newark: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:45 SNA → 15:21 EWR
    UA 661 · United · 5h 36m · 91% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 EWR → 20:23 DTW
    UA 3586 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 38mSNA 06:45 to DTW 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.