tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Louisville via Denver: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 08:45 DEN
    UA 670 · United · 4h 15m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 DEN → 14:28 SDF
    UA 1479 · United · 2h 43m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 58mEWR 06:30 to SDF 14:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.