tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 45%

  1. 06:30 EWR → 08:45 DEN
    UA 670 · United · 4h 15m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:43 DEN → 11:25 SFO
    UA 1506 · United · 2h 42m · 48% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip7h 55mEWR 06:30 to SFO 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.