tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:29 DEN → 20:14 ORD
    UA 675 · United · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:31 XNA
    UA 5767 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 62% on time, 16.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (16.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 02mDEN 16:29 to XNA 23:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.