tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:29 DEN → 20:14 ORD
    UA 675 · United · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 ORD → 23:21 MEM
    UA 2317 · United · 2h 01m · 60% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 52mDEN 16:29 to MEM 23:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.