tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Austin via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 15:15 IAD → 17:47 LAX
    UA 684 · United · 5h 32m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 LAX → 23:59 AUS
    UA 5456 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 14m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 44mIAD 15:15 to AUS 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.