tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 93%

  1. 15:15 IAD → 17:47 LAX
    UA 684 · United · 5h 32m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:22 LAX → 22:59 PHX
    UA 5458 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip10h 44mIAD 15:15 to PHX 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.