tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Richmond via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:30 IAH → 17:22 ORD
    UA 699 · United · 2h 52m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 ORD → 21:27 RIC
    UA 1583 · United · 2h 17m · 66% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 57mIAH 14:30 to RIC 21:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.