tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 10:32 BWI → 11:48 ORD
    UA 704 · United · 2h 16m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 ORD → 16:22 LGA
    UA 2189 · United · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 50mBWI 10:32 to LGA 16:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.