tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:15 BWI → 07:30 ORD
    UA 709 · United · 2h 15m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:25 ORD → 13:13 BUF
    UA 4382 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 48m · 73% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 58mBWI 06:15 to BUF 13:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.