tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:15 BWI → 07:30 ORD
    UA 709 · United · 2h 15m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 ORD → 11:05 MEM
    UA 5593 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 50mBWI 06:15 to MEM 11:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.