tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:15 BWI → 07:30 ORD
    UA 709 · United · 2h 15m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 ORD → 13:05 LAS
    UA 2440 · United · 4h 05m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 50mBWI 06:15 to LAS 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.