tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:15 BWI → 07:30 ORD
    UA 709 · United · 2h 15m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:29 ORD → 12:48 RDU
    AA 4756 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 33mBWI 06:15 to RDU 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.