tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 PWM → 08:00 ORD
    UA 723 · United · 3h 00m · 99% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 ORD → 14:38 JFK
    AA 4356 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 38mPWM 06:00 to JFK 14:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.